Best gay blog. Towleroad Wins Award

Nate Silver Hub



04/19/2007


News: Nate Silver, Jeremy Renner, Marriage Money, Gaza

1NewsIcon Miami bar Tobacco road has been many things in its 100 years, including a gay bar.

Cookies-food-green-marijuana-weed-Favim.com-2217411NewsIcon With weed food possibly going mainstream in Colorado and Washington, CBS News takes a look at some cooks crafting foods that will make you smile.

1NewsIcon Some low ball estimates for immediate revenue Maryland, Maine and Washington could enjoy once same-sex marriages get up and running: "Wedding-related spending for in-state couples is projected be about $16 million in Maine, $63 million in Maryland and $89 million in Washington."

1NewsIcon On Dean Chambers' attacks on Nate Silver and his "voodoo statistics": "There was more than a touch of homophobia to the criticism (Silver is gay), not to mention an aversion to scientific rationalism that has come to characterize certain segments of the conservative right. (Gawker compared the attack to "something like a jock slapping a math book out of a kid’s hands and saying, 'NICE NUMBERS, FAG.'")"

1NewsIcon An Israeli airstrike on Gaza City killed eleven people today.

1NewsIcon Oh, Rupert Murdoch: "Why is the Jewish owned press so consistently anti-Israel in every crisis?"

Allenwest1NewsIcon Tea Party Rep. Allen West's supporters are losing their minds after election officials failed to meet a recount deadline, meaning that, as expected, Democratic rival Patrick Murphy will take West's seat in Washington, though not before more right wing protests, of course.

1NewsIcon Adam Roberts somehow got great chefs to share their best kept culinary secrets. Now he's passing them on to you. How delicious.

1NewsIcon "Because You're So Sweet"

1NewsIcon Just for the record, David Beckham is not leaving the LA Galaxy to play in Australia.

1NewsIcon Michael Fassbender rubbed up on co-star Ryan Gosling while shooting Terrence Malick's new film in Mexico.

1NewsIcon The happiest of birthdays to Rachel McAdams.

1NewsIcon Check out Fiona Apple's new track for This Is 40.

1NewsIcon Don't expect marriage equality in Pennsylvania, at least not without federal or SCOTUS intervention: "Gov. Tom Corbett and many in the Republican-controlled General Assembly oppose gay marriage, and state law barring it would have to be repealed or struck down by a court. Those on both sides of the issue say the commonwealth's political climate has not forced lawmakers to take a stand on the issue, which isn't viewed as a high priority."

Rennersnl1NewsIcon Jeremy Renner and the SNL cast had a ball sending-up The Avengers last night.

1NewsIcon The origin of Twitter-born words: "Jacob Eisenstein at the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta and colleagues examined 30 million tweets sent from US locations between December 2009 and May 2011... After collecting the data, the team built a mathematical model that captures the large-scale flow of new words between cities. The model revealed that cities with big African American populations tend to lead the way in linguistic innovation."

1NewsIcon Cynthia Deford, a lesbian mother in Washington state, has started a petition to ban teachers from campaigning for political causes in school after her daughter's teacher wore a button supporting a ban on gay marriage there.


Nate Silver, Sex Object

Meme_silver

Apparently a lot of people are very turned on by Nate Silver's talent with numbers.

Seductive Nate Silver has hit the meme factory.

And in the New Yorker, Paul Rudnick pens a hilarious letter from Silver's "No. 1 fan", 11-year-old Emma Gertlowitz:

See, I think that because you predicted the election with near-100% accuracy Matt Bomer is way more likely to go out with you than with Dick Morris, who predicted a Romney landslide, or with Karl Rove, who kept predicting that Ohio was still in play a week after the election was over. In fact, right now I bet that you could get anyone to go out with you just by saying something like “I predicted Florida, North Carolina, and Illinois, and now I’m predicting that you’ll have dinner with me.” I know that you can also predict the careers of baseball players and that you made a ton of money playing online poker, all of which makes you really cool because you can gamble and do sports without leaving your room; you’re like James Bond in saggy sweatpants whose pockets are filled with wadded-up Kleenex.

I know that you’re too old for me and that if we actually met you’d probably be really nice and say something like “I predict that someday you’ll meet a boy who’s 100% right for you,” and then I would tell you my secret, that I was totally crushing on this geeky anorexic goth boy but he turned out to be Ann Coulter. So maybe I should just keep fantasizing about you, because statisticians are the new sexy vampires, only even more pasty. I just hope that tonight I can dream that the next time you’re on “Rachel Maddow” you’ll look right into the camera and say, “I can predict that Hillary will win Nevada in 2016, and that Emma Gertlowitz will at least get wait-listed for Brown.”


Nate Silver Rates The Ubiquitous Presidential Polls

SilverPolls

The end of election season means that we have at least a year (468 different Congressional races are just around the corner!) before we're again inundated by an endless stream of polls, proclamation and other numerical electoral predications.

Taking advantage of this lull, master stastician Nate Silver has rated the most prominent polls cited during the 2012 election. Gallup, one of the most popular, appears to be the least accurate.

An excerpt of Silver's analysis:

Among the more prolific polling firms, the most accurate by this measure was TIPP, which conducted a national tracking poll for Investors’ Business Daily. Relative to other national polls, their results seemed to be Democratic-leaning at the time they were published. However, it turned out that most polling firms underestimated Mr. Obama’s performance, so those that had what had seemed to be Democratic-leaning results were often closest to the final outcome.

Conversely, polls that were Republican-leaning relative to the consensus did especially poorly.

Well at least the GOP exceled at something this election season: failing.


News: Romney's Credit, Paula Broadwell, Lego Movie, Liberia

Mitt Romney's campaign canceled all their credit cards after the failed presidential hopeful conceded the race to President Obama. Many staffers, caught unaware, were left stranded: "Aides taking cabs home late that night got rude awakenings when they found the credit cards linked to the campaign no longer worked."

RomneyOrderingSecret Service were notified early Wednesday that their time guarding Mitt Romney had come to an end. "Javelin, Jockey details, all posts, discontinue," read the command text.

Anti-gay Muslim and Christian activists protested in Monrovia, Liberia, today to ban all gay and lesbian activities there.

Did Paula Broadwell's husband write to Chuck Klosterman at The Ethicist to ask for advice about how to handle her affair with David Petraeus?

Raise your hand if you wish Becks had taken you and not wife Victoria to see Barbra Streisand perform.

Is it gauche to ask wedding guests to donate to marriage equality causes in lieu of gifts?

The DC Eagle is closing.

JawsLegoLiam Neeson, Will Ferrell and Alison Brie have all signed on for the Lego movie.

This is what happens when you buy an "iPad" from a gas station.

Baby tiger and chihuahua find love in a hopeless place.

May we all age as well as Daniel Day-Lewis.

Brian Brown and his mob at the National Organization for Marriage want to make equality-supporting Starbucks "pay a price" in the Middle East. "Their international outreach is where we can have the most effect,” Brown said during a conference call with his minions. “So for example, in Qatar, in the Middle East, we’ve begun working to make sure that there’s some price to be paid for this. These are not countries that look kindly on same-sex marriage. And this is where Starbucks wants to expand, as well as India. So we have done some of this; we’ve got to do a lot more.”

Lindsay Lohan has decided not to sit down for an interview with Barbara Walters.

Eugene Delgaudio, the Virginia conservative who used a gay couple's wedding picture to campaign against Colorado State Sen. Jean White and propagandize against marriage equality, is being investigated for allegedly using public resources and employees to fuel his anti-gay crusade.

RBSPSThis is what the Earth sounds like. PBS explains: "Physicist Craig Kletzing, a professor at the University of Iowa, and his colleagues at NASA recently recorded the clearest example yet of this chorus from the Radiation Belt Storm Probes, a pair of satellites surveying the radiation fields that envelop the Earth. Just days after the satellites' launch, they were beaming back high-resolution data that matches the quality of CD audio."

President Obama is officially the winner in Florida, collecting the state's 29 electoral votes and bringing his total to 332 over Romney's 206.

Nate Silver says GOP still has an electoral disadvantage for next two election cycles at least. "States like Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Iowa are overwhelmingly white – but also highly educated, with fairly progressive views on social policy. If Republicans moderated their tone on social issues, they might be more competitive in these states, while regaining ground in Northern Virginia and in the Philadelphia suburbs," says the statistician.


Why Nate Silver Got Drunk: VIDEO

Drunk_nate_silver

Those of you out there who tweet may be aware that yesterday 'Drunk Nate Silver' became a Twitter meme with users tweeting examples of how the on-the-nose election prognosticator might behave in various situations if he got on the bottle and got messy.

Dan Levitan's tweet set off the meme riot: "Drunk Nate Silver is riding the subway, telling strangers the day they will die"

Overnight, Second City has taken that meme and run with it, explaining what becoming a web celebrity has done to the NYT numbercruncher.

Watch, AFTER THE JUMP...

Continue reading "Why Nate Silver Got Drunk: VIDEO" »


Nate Silver's Book Sales Boom After 2012 Election

Signal-noise-why-so-many-predictions-fail-but-nate-silver-hardcover-cover-artNate Silver's nearly perfect call on the 2012 election is translating into massive booksales.

From a CNN report filed yesterday afternoon:

Sales of the book, "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - but Some Don't" shot up 850% on Amazon.com during the last 24 hours.

It is now the second best selling book on the site, behind only popular children's book, "The Third Wheel, Diary of a Wimpy Kid Book 7."

So, what's next for Silver? Hopefully a vacation. And, according to Politico reporter Roger Simon's predication, perhaps some negotiations.

He tweeted, "The next sound you hear will be Nate Silver negotiating a new contract."


Trending



Towleroad - Blogged