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NOM Takes Credit For Defeating Gay Republicans, Will Target Sen. Rob Portman in 2016

Brian_brown

The National Organization for Marriage is taking credit for the defeat of several openly gay and pro-marriage equality Republicans on Nov. 4. Not surprisingly, though, a closer examination of election results raises significant questions about the group's claims. NOM wrote in a press release Monday:

Through their Super PAC, the NOM Victory Fund, the nation's largest organization supporting natural marriage opposed the election of Republican US House candidates Carl DeMaio (CA52) and Richard Tisei (MA6) as well as Republican US Senate candidate Monica Wehby of Oregon. Tisei and Wehby were defeated on Election Day while DeMaio conceded defeat yesterday.

DemaioDeMaio and Tisei are openly gay, and Wehby campaigned in support of marriage equality. However, in his analysis of how same-sex marriage played in the mid-term elections, The Washington Blade's Chris Johnson notes that the candidates who defeated DeMaio, Tisei and Wehby all support LGBT rights:

One might argue conservatives were so disaffected in those races that they stayed home and didn’t provide the necessary support to overcome the Republican rivals of Democratic candidates, especially in close races like California’s 52nd congressional district, where DeMaio was ahead in the final tally and declared the loser only after the provisional ballots were counted.

But that wouldn’t explain other races in which Republican challengers who support marriage equality were able to unseat Democratic opponents in close contests. Robert Dold, a former Republican House member who came out for marriage equality after leaving office, won in his bid to unseat Rep. Brad Schneider (D-Ill.), as did Carlos Curbelo, a Republican supporter of same-sex marriage who unseated Rep. Joe Garcia (D-Fla.).

Dold and Curbelo were backed by Log Cabin Republicans, which reported that 10 of its 16 endorsed federal candidates won their races. "Election night was a terrific night to be a Republican, and an especially good night to be a Log Cabin Republican," Executive Director Gregory T. Angelo said in a release. 

Angelo said losses by DeMaio and Tisei made the results "bittersweet," but suggested that anti-gay groups like NOM weren't any more of a factor in those races than "vitriolic Democrats who would stop at nothing to maintain the identity politics status quo that keeps them in power."

PortmanEven without Demaio and Tisei, the number of House Republicans who support marriage equality will increase to six in the 114th Congress. Meanwhile, the Senate will include at least four Republicans who support marriage equality, including Ohio's Rob Portman, who has been identified as a possible GOP presidential candidate. And that's precisely where NOM President Brian Brown says the group is now turning its attention.

"Rob Portman can forget about getting elected President of the United States," Brown said in the group's press release Monday. "If he runs we will make sure that GOP primary voters are aware of his desire to redefine marriage and his willingness to see federal judges set aside the votes of 50 million Americans who enacted marriage amendments across the country because his son is gay. Rob Portman's son has a right to live as he chooses, but that does not give his father the right to redefine marriage."

"Rob Portman can forget about getting elected President of the United States," said Brown. "If he runs we will make sure that GOP primary voters are aware of his desire to redefine marriage and his willingness to see federal judges set aside the votes of 50 million Americans who enacted marriage amendments across the country because his son is gay. Rob Portman's son has a right to live as he chooses, but that does not give his father the right to redefine marriage. - See more at: http://www.nomblog.com/39827/#sthash.hfNxvuQL.dpuf
"Rob Portman can forget about getting elected President of the United States," said Brown. "If he runs we will make sure that GOP primary voters are aware of his desire to redefine marriage and his willingness to see federal judges set aside the votes of 50 million Americans who enacted marriage amendments across the country because his son is gay. Rob Portman's son has a right to live as he chooses, but that does not give his father the right to redefine marriage. - See more at: http://www.nomblog.com/39827/#sthash.hfNxvuQL.dpuf

Gay GOP Candidate Carl DeMaio Loses Race to Scott Peters

DemaioOpenly gay GOP candidate Carl DeMaio has lost his bid to unseat Democrat Scott Peters in the race for the House seat in California's 52nd district. 

Politico reports:

The Associated Press called the race Friday night, nearly 72 hours after polls closed in the San Diego-area district. Peters, who trailed DeMaio in early returns, currently leads the Republican by 4,491 votes, 51.2 percent to 48.8 percent.

DeMaio's campaign was plagued by numerous accusations that the candidate had sexually harassed former campaign staffers. DeMaio vehemently denied the claims.

Massachusetts' Richard Tisei, the other openly gay GOP congressional candidate, lost his race as well.  


Carl DeMaio Barely Leads Scott Peters in Tight Race for California House Seat

Demaio

Gay Republican Carl DeMaio (pictured) leads Democrat Scott Peters in the 52nd District Congressional race in California by a slim lead of 752 votes, but 180,000 provisional ballots still need to be counted.

DeMaio, a former member of the San Diego City Council, failed to win the support of the LGBT community and has been troubled by claims of sexual harassment from two former campaign aides.


Rachel Maddow: Vetoes and Impeachment Calls Aplenty If GOP Takes Congress — VIDEO

Gop_maddow

Rachel Maddow last night took a look at what happens if the GOP takes the Senate (and therefore control of Congress) today as many are expecting them to do. She notes that every two-term president in recent history in his sixth year has had to deal with a Congress led by the opposition.

Bills may just start getting passed:

"President Obama alone will be the counterweight to the all-Republican congress if the Republicans take the Senate...and that is going to be a lot of fun to cover."

Obama has so far vetoed two items during his presidency, but there may soon be a lot more.

FOX News and Republicans are already licking their lips about impeachment over Obama acting alone on immigration.

Head out and vote today, folks.

Watch, AFTER THE JUMP...

Continue reading "Rachel Maddow: Vetoes and Impeachment Calls Aplenty If GOP Takes Congress — VIDEO" »


Gay GOP Candidate Carl DeMaio Hit With Second Sexual Harassment Allegation By A Campaign Staffer

Demaio

A second former staffer for Republican Carl DeMaio has come forward accusing the openly gay congressional candidate of sexual harassment, KPBS reports:

Navy veteran Justin Harper, 25, said he began interning with DeMaio’s campaign in February and was hired as a regional political director a month later. His job was to make phone calls and knock on doors to ask voters for their support.

Harper said he quit on July 12, two days after an incident involving DeMaio in a restroom at campaign headquarters. [...]

"I was at the urinal, and (DeMaio) came from the stall that was closest to the urinal and was kind of just standing there hovering," Harper said. "I turned around and realized that it was Carl. He had his pants up, but his fly was undone, and he had his hand grasping his genitals."

Harper said DeMaio didn't say anything to him, and he didn't say anything to DeMaio.

"I just walked out. I didn't say anything to him, I just left," Harper said.

Responding to the allegations, DeMaio's campaign spokesman released the following statement:

"Reporters with journalistic integrity have dismissed these false smears because they’ve been peddled by the same people fired from the campaign months ago – and the District Attorney dismissed these false allegations weeks ago. KPBS is reckless in reporting this outrageous lie because our office has not even had a urinal to use – a fact confirmed to KPBS by our landlord."

The station adds Harper claims the urinal was not broken at the time of the incident and that a receptionist for a separate business in the office complex says the urinal is not currently broken. Additionally, the station reports the landlord for the office complex has contributed nearly $4,000 to DeMaio's campaign. 

For a run down on the story of the first former campaign staffer to come forward with similar allegations, check out our post here


Nate Silver Weighs In On the GOP's Increasingly Likely Chance of Taking Over the Senate - VIDEO

Silver

Writing over at FiveThirtyEight this weekend, statistician Nate Silver points to the growing odds that the Republican Party will win a Senate majority this midterm election.  

He writes:

On Friday, I posed the question of whether the polls would have to be systematically wrong for Democrats to hold the Senate.

Technically speaking, we’re not quite there yet. If Democrats win Georgia and Alaska and North Carolina, and Orman wins Kansas and caucuses with them, they’d hold the Senate even if Republicans flipped Iowa, Colorado and the five other Democratic-held seats where GOP candidates have an advantage in the polls. But that’s quite a parlay to pull off.

Here’s one way to think about it. The FiveThirtyEight model accounts for the possibility that the polls could be systematically biased — in either direction. If I instead tell the model to assume the polls have no overall bias — even though they might be off in particular states — the Democrats’ chances of keeping the Senate would be just 17 percent. Democrats are becoming increasingly dependent on the possibility that the polls will prove to be “skewed.”

Silver's forecast currently puts the Republican chance of taking over the Senate at 73%

Silver also appeared on This Week with George Stephanopoulos earlier this morning to discuss his Senate and gubernatorial predictions. 

Watch, AFTER THE JUMP...

Continue reading "Nate Silver Weighs In On the GOP's Increasingly Likely Chance of Taking Over the Senate - VIDEO" »


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