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Gallup: LGBT Vote Could Swing Election Obama's Direction

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According to a Gallup poll, if the 71% of registered LGBT voters who say they are voting for Obama actually do, they could tip the scale in the president's favor.

From Gallup, via the Williams Institute at UCLA:

A new Gallup Report finds that 71% of LGBT Americans who are registered voters support President Obama for reelection, while 22% support Governor Mitt Romney. From June to September, non-LGBT registered voters preferred Romney to Obama by one percentage point, 47% to 46%. However, when LGBT voters are added to electorate, Obama moves slightly ahead of Romney (47% to 45%).  These findings suggest that the highly Democratic vote of the LGBT population could be enough to swing a very close election toward Obama.

The findings are based on more than 120,000 interviews of adults in the US, which represents the largest representative sample of LGBT men and women ever collected.

The Gallup poll also found that 20% of self-identified LGBT people describe themselves as conservative or very conservative. Also most LGBT people approve of Obama's work -- 68% said they approve, while 28% said they disapprove of the president's job -- and LGBT people apparently are not registering to vote as much as their straight counterparts: "About three-fourths of LGBT individuals (74%) say they are registered or plan to register to vote, compared with 80% of non-LGBT men and women."

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  1. What I struggle with most about Governor Romney and these men he endorses for high office. Is that they truly would like to end ALL abortion for ALL women and they say nutty things like if you are raped they don't want you to terminate the pregnancy because it is 'God's will'.

    And these SAME people say they will repeal Obamacare because they don't want Government in 'their' (tax payer paid for) health care.

    It truly is maddening ignorance.

    Posted by: chas holman | Oct 27, 2012 4:30:02 PM


  2. Forever shaking my head at those 20%

    Posted by: K | Oct 27, 2012 4:30:25 PM


  3. What good news...that we can be the ones who keep Obama in office. Lightens my whole day when it's rainy and cold here in the Northwest and a huge storm threatens the Eastern Seaoard. So what, we can make Obama win!

    Posted by: UFFDA | Oct 27, 2012 4:35:43 PM


  4. First it was women. Then hispanics. Now LGBTs. Next it will be the children.

    Posted by: MarkUs | Oct 27, 2012 4:38:00 PM


  5. This gay is more than happy to step up and put Obama back in the Whitehouse ! I am so wanting to see just how more plastic and fake Romney and Ryan's faces can be when they lose !

    Posted by: Icebloo | Oct 27, 2012 4:38:45 PM


  6. It still boils down to the Economy as Issue-One; economic policy, taxes and entitlements. Not foreign policy, not Israel, not abortion nor SSM.

    Posted by: Ted B. (Charging Rhino) | Oct 27, 2012 4:40:18 PM


  7. Romney is basically dislike outside US. Romney in WH would make US foreign policy and trade with other countries more difficult. But US voters makes decision, hopefully LGBT voters back Obama and give him four more years.

    Posted by: Matt26 | Oct 27, 2012 4:46:52 PM


  8. @Ted B: Not for me, that's not what it boils down to.

    Not all of us are willing to put aside major human rights issues because we are "worried about the economy" (which, by the way, is in better hands with the Democrats in any case).

    Posted by: mike128 | Oct 27, 2012 4:47:56 PM


  9. Let's adore the guy who does NOT support our equality on a federal level (obama) and ignore the guy who actually does support our equality on a federal level (Gary Johnson).

    Obama has played the gay community like a fiddle.

    Posted by: Wayne | Oct 27, 2012 4:57:06 PM


  10. What economic miracle do those 20% believe Romney will perform that makes accepting second class citizenship worth it to them? Romney's plans sound exactly like Junior Bush's policies - Corporate tax breaks, deregulation and little to no oversight of Wall Street. When Bush was president that brought us Enron, the Lehman Bros bankruptcy, bank failures and the government bailing out banks with TARP. And bringing back those policies will now create high-paying jobs for everyone?

    Posted by: Eddie | Oct 27, 2012 4:57:24 PM


  11. For the first time in U.S. history, we have a president who recognizes that gay equality is a right; that marriage equality is a right. To paraphrase Rachel Maddow, people shouldn't be able to vote on rights - that's why we call them rights. Why anyone in the LGBT community would vote for Romney/Ryan is completely incomprehensible.

    Posted by: robert | Oct 27, 2012 5:01:37 PM


  12. @WAYNE: Are you serious, this is for the Supreme Court! This is for the end of DOMA...and it's about a general cultural influence that presidents have. The fact that a sitting president has said he is for Marriage equality is helping to shift the culture...Now think what influence a Romney presidency will have...A man who has promised to support DOMA and wants to see a constitutional amendment passed enshrining gay discrimination into the U.S. constitution. Even if he doesn't succeed, he will again legitimize anti-gay bigotry, from the oval office. This is no time to throw away your vote on Gary Johnson. Vote Obama and then, by all means hold his feet to the fire, criticize him whenever he deserves it. But if you vote for Gary you might as well vote for Romney.

    Posted by: Quest | Oct 27, 2012 5:23:31 PM


  13. @WAYNE

    Get back to me when Gary Johnson has ANY CHANCE of being elected. Until such time, I view a vote for him as a vote that COULD have actively prevented anti-gay Romney from getting into the White House.

    Fact is, however, that Obama hasn't played anyone. He has vocally, politically, and legally acted on behalf of the gay community. That's something Romney would never do, and something Johnson will never have a chance to do.

    Posted by: sparks | Oct 27, 2012 5:24:27 PM


  14. Wayne: Obama supports marriage equality at the federal level.

    See, e.g., headlines like:
    "President Obama orders Justice Department to stop defending DOMA in court"

    and
    "Obama backs bill to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act"

    and, just today:
    "Obama Reaffirms Same-Sex Marriage Platform as Election Closes"

    Posted by: BABH | Oct 27, 2012 5:29:35 PM


  15. Obama Reaffirms Same-Sex Marriage Platform As Election Closes

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/27/obama-same-sex-marriage_n_2031258.html

    I hope every will vote for Obama (It will not help to vote for a third person, since they do not have real power. without that there is a voice lost Obama. And the choice flash close, so every vote is important)

    BTW I think Obama has done a great job In his first term.

    Posted by: nn | Oct 27, 2012 5:31:24 PM


  16. The mind boggles with those 22%: On gay issues, there is no debate. Obama is on our side; the Romney-Ryan ticket is wrong on every equality issue. But even if one's own human dignity isn't a priority, Mitt is W all over again--welfare for the rich, vouchers for the elderly, zero respect for women, no respect around the world and ineptness every time he's ventured overseas. Romney has nothing to offer any gay person, unless they're in the 1% and too closeted to have a family worth honoring.

    Posted by: Ernie | Oct 27, 2012 5:35:30 PM


  17. I am not surprised that the majority of LGBT voters choose Obama, just as I'm not surirosed the majority of African-Americans do. The Republican platform is racist and homophobic.

    But African-Americans support Obama by 90% and we are at 71% ??? Who are these 1 in 5 GAYS who want to vote for a party that HATES US?

    And not just hates us in an abstract way, but hates us in that it's their platform to AMEND THE UNITED STATES CONSTITUTION in order to discriminate against us?


    P.S.> Who are the 9% of gay voters who are still "undecided"? Dudes, get your head out of your ass, this one's easy.

    No self-respecting gay person can vote Republican. Period.

    Posted by: Strepsi | Oct 27, 2012 5:42:28 PM


  18. So about 2/10 LGBT persons out there are completely deluded, indoctrinated into conservatism, or simply uncaring of our communities' progresses socially and legally.

    I mean, now we see categorically, we could make the difference, our community could be the tipping point. And yet there are gays out there willing to throw that away and vote for the man who would set us back decades. Disgusting beyond belief.

    Posted by: Francis | Oct 27, 2012 6:04:37 PM


  19. What has Mitt Romney said that realistically convinces anyone he's be smashingly awesome at fixing the economy? Since both candidates are pretty much a draw on that topic, I turn to foreign police and civil rights next. And on those fronts, Obama is head and shoulders over Mittney.

    Posted by: Gregoire | Oct 27, 2012 6:32:56 PM


  20. How on earth does Gallup know how many gay people there are? Most of the gay people I know would NEVER tell a polling organization about their sexuality. It's identity-politics crap served to you on a plate by the Gallup polling organization.

    Posted by: jason | Oct 27, 2012 6:48:51 PM


  21. During a live interview today inside the White House, President Obama told MTV viewers that when it comes to same-sex marriage, it would be up to future generations of Americans to implement meaningful reform.

    Asked if he would use his second term as a platform to extend same-sex marriage to more states, the president demurred, saying he viewed it as an issue for the states to decide.

    "For us to try to legislate federally into this area is probably the wrong way to go," Obama told MTV presenter Sway Calloway, who asked questions submitted by youth voters.

    Posted by: rik | Oct 27, 2012 8:26:17 PM


  22. Pure selfishness.

    I am fortunate enough financially that I might actually benefit individually from Romney's policies; however, I couldn't possibly vote for the man. Why not? Because I care about my family, my friends, my country, and the world more than I care about saving a few percent on my f***ing income tax.

    Posted by: Lucky | Oct 27, 2012 8:58:09 PM


  23. I heartily second Quest's concern about the Supreme Court. If Romney wins, it could eventually result in the reversal of most of the 20th century gains in rights for ALL people.

    Posted by: Diogenes Arktos | Oct 27, 2012 9:06:17 PM


  24. Spin fail, @Rik: He's already using his presidency to extend marriage equality to more states by expressing his personal support for it (which has already significantly raised public and mainstream Democratic support), by endorsing all pro-equality ballot initiatives, and by opposing all anti-gay marriage amendments. We know where Romney-Ryan stand on this, 100% against us.

    Furthermore, he is using his DOJ to fight DOMA in the courts, which is the most likely path to federal equality. And he will fill any court vacancies with judges most likely to respect the constitution and be on our side. He knows, as any informed person does, that the next generation will demand equality, and, unlike his opponent, he's on board with that.

    Posted by: Ernie | Oct 27, 2012 9:18:55 PM


  25. With the revelations of the past couple days, surely some in the LGBT community must feel betrayed— The Libyan embassy seige lasted over 7 hours, but help that was less than two hours away was denied, which allowed the Muslims who think homosexuality is a sin to torture a gay US Ambassador. Obama and Hillary did nothing to protect him. This was a Muslim on Gay crime.

    Posted by: Lili | Oct 27, 2012 10:25:32 PM


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