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Marriage Equality Polls Well in Oregon: 49 Percent Favor, 42 Oppose

Oregon

A new poll reveals that 49% of Oregonians favor marriage equality and 42% oppose. 9% remain undecided.

Marriage equality will be on the ballot in November 2014.

Joan McCarter at DailyKos sees optimism in the polling question:

Saying yes to "changing the Oregon constitution" instead of a much more neutral question like "do you support or oppose same sex marriage" indicates that a 49 percent level of support is pretty solid. That's very encouraging, 18 months ahead of the election, and not out of line with polling from PPP last December that found 54 percent of voters think "same-sex marriage should be allowed in Oregon."

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Comments

  1. Which means that 51% oppose it.

    Posted by: Trichos | May 2, 2013 12:08:53 PM


  2. Decent, but not great numbers, really, because of the Bradley effect. It was in play in WA/ME/MD. In all three states, the final numbers were closer than the polling numbers. We need to be above 50% to win elections on ballots. People lie to pollsters and the majority of "don't know" is an against vote.

    But lets remember that the final vote doesn't occur until November 2014 so I expect sufficient support in Oregon by then.

    Posted by: Francis #1 | May 2, 2013 12:13:23 PM


  3. as a tax paying Gay American - Im about F'N TIRED of MY-OUR Rights being put up to a Vote - period!!!!

    Posted by: disgusted american | May 2, 2013 12:34:28 PM


  4. Yes, many of those current "undecideds" may vote no, but If the Prop 8 and DOMA rulings favor marraige rights the numbers could see a real shift. That with the addition of a few more states granting marraige rights between now and 2014 and momentum is definitely working for us.

    Posted by: e.c. | May 2, 2013 12:37:44 PM


  5. It is appallingly fascistic to put equal civil rights up for a public vote.

    Oregon is clearly as backward as California and Maine were.

    Posted by: MaryM | May 2, 2013 12:44:39 PM


  6. I agree that voting on the civil rights of a minority group is repugnant, but, in this case (and also, eventually, in the Nevada process), it's a necessary step to repeal the constitutional amendment that is already in place in Oregon. It's not a civil rights issue as much as it a procedural issue. This is how amendments are approved or repealed in Oregon. If Oregon had an amendment declaring the sky to be green and the grass to be blue, it would similarly have to be put on the ballot to be repealed. The argument that civil rights shouldn't be put up to a vote was over when they were and the amendment was approved by voters. The only way around doing this is going through the courts to attempt to declare the amendment unconstitutional, which would likely take several years itself. Unless, of course, the US Supreme Court takes the opportunity of the Prop 8 verdict to nullify all anti-marriage amendments across the country.

    Posted by: Jere | May 2, 2013 1:12:34 PM


  7. What does "(DON'T ASK)" mean in the results?

    Posted by: Paul R | May 2, 2013 1:32:46 PM


  8. Unlike the 2010 midterms, from the polling data that I've read, it seems as if Dems and Independents are much more energized for these midterms than the Republiclowns).

    Gerrymandering may keep the US House in republican hands but something like a repeal of the amendment in Oregon...might be a winner in 2014.

    Posted by: Chitown Kev | May 2, 2013 2:17:44 PM


  9. If this were an actual vote, then the people who "Don't Ask/Don't Know" should be counted in the "Favor" column, since after all the media coverage by this point, they still "Don't Care" enough about the subject to have even formed an opinion that SSM bothers them.

    Posted by: Rexford | May 2, 2013 3:16:35 PM


  10. It's not looking good. Remember, the voting age of 2014 will be older than 2012, so I would add 9% to NO or 8% to NO and 1% to YES. It's really close . I just hope that the time can fly and let younger generation to take control of government as soon as possible

    Posted by: tr2236 | May 2, 2013 3:34:26 PM


  11. The good thing about public votes is that on those occasions when the bigots lose, it really really demoralizes them. When the courts are pro-gay, they complain that the legislature wasn't allowed to decide. When the legislature is pro-gay, they complain that the people weren't allowed to decide. When the people are pro-gay, they have nothing left to complain about, and are reduced to muttering to themselves.

    Posted by: Merv | May 2, 2013 7:11:17 PM


  12. Please use better headlines. The word "polls" is very confusing here.

    Posted by: Andy | May 3, 2013 12:34:09 AM


  13. Such is the deluded optimist. It's become more like a board game than reality, and Andy has already moved into Park Place.

    Posted by: GB | May 3, 2013 12:59:24 AM


  14. As someone who has been on the other side of this issue I can tell you that Merv is 100% correct.

    Seeing marriage equality on the November 2014 Oregon ballot is the way to go. Oregon is not a conservative state and it should pass - maybe not with landslide majorities, but it still should pass. Every vote by the people for SSM demoralizes the other side further. They took an awful hit in the past 12 months - and as long as the progress comes from legislatures and and referenda, I don't see how they recover from it. What could cause them to recover and start to gain ground is a SCOTUS ruling that mandates marriage equality nation-wide. I can tell everyone one Towleroad that this is EXACTLY what Maggie and Brian are hoping for.

    Posted by: Mary | May 3, 2013 8:15:22 AM


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