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Poll: CA Gay Marriage Ban Opposed by 51% of Likely Voters

While the Supreme Court just rejected a bid to strike Proposition 8, the California ballot measure that would effectively ban same-sex marriage in the state, from the ballot, the news isn't all bad.

Martin_lyon_2According to a new Field Poll, the measure is opposed by 51% of likely voters. 42% say they are in favor of it:

"The poll is the first to question voters using the measure's exact language. But the results are similar to a Field Poll on the same topic in May, shortly after the California Supreme Court overturned laws that prohibited same-sex marriage. The new poll found a predictable partisan division: Republicans support the constitutional ban 68 percent to 27 percent while Democrats oppose it 63 percent to 30 percent. Nonpartisan and minor-party members are even more strongly against it, 66 percent to 27 percent. DiCamillo said he was not surprised that unaffiliated voters opposed Proposition 8 more than Democrats because those voters tend to be younger than Democrats or Republicans."

Said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll: "Starting out behind is usually an ominous sign for a proposition. Over 90 percent of propositions that start out behind get taken down."

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Comments

  1. Keeping my fingers crossed on this one. Defeat of Prop. 8 at the ballot box will be a watershed moment; although I still find it wrong for the majority to decide the civil rights of a minority. The CA constitution is too easy to amend.

    Posted by: Anonymous | Jul 18, 2008 10:26:00 AM


  2. Starting as early as next month gay marriage will be legal for out-of-state couples now the the State Senate has repealed that ridiculous 1913 law....So no matter what happens in CA it's only a matter of time for marriage equality in this country.... :)

    Posted by: Charlotte | Jul 18, 2008 10:29:02 AM


  3. Forgive me if I don't share the optimism about these poll numbers. If I recall, support for Prop 21 (or whatever it was) was polling lower than this at this point in the game. People don't want to seem bigoted when they answer poll questions but they don't mind pulling the bigot lever in the privacy of the ballot box.

    There's still A LOT LOT LOT of work to be done in CA, AZ and here in FL!!!!

    If you live in these states donate as much time and money as you can to the effort to defeat these amendments. TALK TO EVERYONE YOU KNOW.

    If you don't live in these states, SEND MONEY and call every friend, family member and aquaintence you know who does live in ANY of these states.

    Personal stories and personal contacts make more difference than all the TV and radio ads put together.

    We REALLY need EVERYONE'S help for the next four months. Please do whatever you can.

    For Florida (which has the most discriminatory of all amendments this year) you can contact Fairness for ALL Families.com, FloridaRedandBlue.com or Equality Florida.

    Posted by: Zeke | Jul 18, 2008 10:30:44 AM


  4. I take this poll with a grain of salt,but hope it might be true, people say one thing when they think they need to be PC, but, in the privacy of the voting booth, tick off something else. I think they call this the Bradley effect.

    Posted by: Luke | Jul 18, 2008 10:33:47 AM


  5. does there have to be a specific majority to win this constitutional amendment or could a 51:49 ratio of voters make this decision?

    Posted by: voodoolock | Jul 18, 2008 11:17:24 AM


  6. I'm not taking these poll numbers as an excuse to coast until November either. But I see them as a good morale booster to show the No On 8 campaign can be winnable if our friends and allies work our asses off.

    Posted by: Peter | Jul 18, 2008 12:36:43 PM


  7. Voodoolock, a simple majority would win. Even 50.1 percent would win.

    Posted by: Paul R | Jul 18, 2008 1:04:41 PM


  8. I second Zeke's urging everyone to become directly involved in whatever way they can, and give a big shout out to all he's personally doing. Without courageous souls like him Florida would have sunk bank into the dark ages [with palm trees] long ago.

    If your financial resources are limited, don't be embarrassed about sending even a few dollars. It all adds up, and even the smallest amount would genuinely appreciated. I remember opening donation envelopes in Miami during the fight against Anita Bryant in 1977 and tearing up when some contained only a few coins, realizing that they came from people for whom that was a sacrifice but who wanted to be a part of the fight for others' freedom and dignity. There were other unspoken messages, too, like the many donations we got that were just one penny under the amount that required name and occupation reporting on our mandatory public fundraising filings [$100. as I recall, therefore, $99.99].

    Both those who might have had to skip a meal that day to donate or those who might have given more but for fear of being outed somehow I hope Life has been good to you all these many years.

    "Life begets life. Energy creates energy. It is by spending oneself that one becomes rich.” - Sarah Bernhardt

    Posted by: Michael Bedwell | Jul 18, 2008 1:26:20 PM


  9. Lies, all lies.

    Posted by: Ann | Apr 3, 2009 9:51:40 AM


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