2012 Election | Barack Obama | Mitt Romney | News

Poll Shows Obama Up in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania

A new poll shows Obama up in key swing states, CNN reports:

Choice_obamaThe Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times polls showed Obama leading his Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Florida 51%-45%, in Ohio 50%-44%, and in Pennsylvania 53%-42%. Florida and Ohio are considered toss-ups in November's general election, while Pennsylvania is rated "lean Obama" on CNN's Electoral Map.

The poll indicated that only 4% of likely voters in each of the three states had yet to decide on a candidate to support. Among Romney backers, 10% in Florida and Ohio and 9% in Pennsylvania said they could change their mind before November. Eleven percent of Obama's supporters in Florida said they could change their minds, compared to 13% in Ohio and 15% in Pennsylvania.

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  1. All bets are off in Pennsylvania until we find out whether or not the Republicans will be allowed to steal the election there with their ridiculous vote-suppressing Voter ID law.

    Posted by: BABH | Aug 1, 2012 10:03:09 AM


  2. Babh

    worse case scenario is -1.2% swing in favor of romney due to shenanigans and that is pre Dems fighting back


    with the repub sec of state saying in court yesterday that she hadn't even read the law and last weeks statement by the law supporters saying that they can not cite even 1 case of voter fraud in pa.....im betting on an injunction being handed out by the judge

    Posted by: say what | Aug 1, 2012 10:05:35 AM


  3. Pennsylvania is fools gold for Republicans....Daddy Bush was the last to win there in 88.

    No Republican has won the White House without winning Ohio. Obama's auto bailout will give him a little cushion in that state because of the amount of manufacturing jobs there.

    Considering where the economy is Romney should be doing a lot better!

    Posted by: Brian in Texas | Aug 1, 2012 10:08:18 AM


  4. Considering where the economy is Romney should be doing a lot better!

    Posted by: Brian in Texas | Aug 1, 2012 10:08:18 AM

    Two reasons that is not true: first of all, some of the blue collar workers who have been led by the nose by Republicans in the last few elections, are starting to realize that - surprise surprise - a man worth a quarter of a billion does not have their best interests in mind ("let Detroit die" as Romney said). They know that a return to Bush IIs policies, which got us into this mess in the first place, are not going to get us out of it. Unfortunately, not all of a them are smart enough to have this break through.

    2nd, Romney has to be one of the most charmless people to run for the office in modern history.

    Posted by: EchtKultig | Aug 1, 2012 10:31:52 AM


  5. Towle never includes the participant breakdown of these polls. (Answer: it's always always Democrat loaded). Obama taking Florida? Now not even you believe that.

    Posted by: MarkUs | Aug 1, 2012 10:34:23 AM


  6. @Markus

    Click truth to the cited poll you lazy slob.

    Posted by: cindy | Aug 1, 2012 10:44:20 AM


  7. markus

    you do know registered dems outnumber registered repubs (especially with the great exodus of repubs to registered indies thanx to bush cheney)

    pollsters weight polls the way they do to match the reality of the general population

    Posted by: say what | Aug 1, 2012 11:06:50 AM


  8. Don't upset the Republican trolls!

    Posted by: Ernie | Aug 1, 2012 11:12:57 AM


  9. "The poll indicated that only 4% of likely voters in each of the three states had yet to decide on a candidate to support."

    There's no way on earth that statement is correct.

    Posted by: Seattle Mike | Aug 1, 2012 11:50:39 AM


  10. Barring some major disaster for Obama, I think he'll carry 332 EV's. Again, polls will vary a bit from time to time, but the trends are all in Obama's favor. I think America has seen enough of Romney and as partisan as our nation has become, I'm pretty sure that most voters have already made up their minds. I live in Ohio and talk politics all the time and have yet to meet on person who is undecided. Personal anecdote, I know, but polls seem to indicate the same.

    Obama can win without both FL and OH. Willard MUST carry both to win. There's still about 90 days til the election. We have the debates to consider (although I'm sure Obama will clean Willard's clock) and the tax return problem is not going away. There is no way for Romney to prove Reid a liar other than releasing 12 years of returns. If he doesn't, he will only lend credence to Reid's accusation that for 10 years he paid no taxes. Then there's the $77,000 tax deduction for the dancing horse when parents only get $1000 for each child.

    As for Florida, it could in the end go either way, you've got the GOP doing voter purges and suppression, and Diebold machines are still in play they just need to get it close enough to steal. Romney did not win any Jewish votes with his Israel trip and even if Rubio became VP candidate, I don't think he'll move FL that much, maybe make Obama's win a little closer. But regardless, if Romney loses OH or FL he's got no chance and that's the name of that tune.

    Posted by: Bob R | Aug 1, 2012 12:43:50 PM


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