Place Your Bets: 2013 Tony Awards Predictions
BY NAVEEN KUMAR
The 67th annual Tony Awards will be handed out at Radio City Music Hall this Sunday, for a season in which Hollywood names didn’t necessarily lead to big box office, nor big box office to attention from Tony voters (unless you happen to be Tom Hanks). Acting awards look likely to be spread among stage and screen veterans (with a rising star or two thrown in along the way), while other major categories will see spectacle win out over subtlety, and extraordinary children over ballsy drag queens.
In the major musical categories, the two horse race for Best Musical remains close approaching the finish line, with both Matilda and Kinky Boots playing to packed houses and consistently grossing over $1 million each week. But, given its ecstatic critical reception and proven success in London, wise bets are riding on Matilda for the big win, with Cyndi Lauper taking home Best Original Score for Kinky Boots while Dennis Kelly takes home Best Book of a Musical for Matilda.
In the Best Revival of a Musical category, expectations are flying high for Diane Paulus’ production of Pippin, a favorite to take home the prize, with Ms. Paulus also likely to be recognized for Best Director of a Musical. Previously nominated for two musical revivals that went on to win the Tony in recent years (Hair and The Gershwins’ Porgy and Bess), the third time should be the charm.
Perhaps the most surefire win of the evening is Pippin’s Andrea Martin for Best Featured Actress in a Musical—though she performs just one number, it’s a doozy. Giving original cast member Ben Vereen a run for his money (in heels) Patina Miller (nominated previously for Sister Act) seems likely to win for Best Leading Actress in a Musical as Pippin’s Leading Player.
Two of the contenders for Best Leading Actor in a Musical are nominated for dressing as women, but Bertie Carvel’s Miss Trunchbull in Matilda—which won him the Olivier Award in London—will likely win him a Tony to go with it for his Broadway debut.
Another Broadway debut is likely to take home Best Leading Actor in a Play, with Lucky Guy Tom Hanks drawing crowds for his performance as Mike McAlary and winning hearts on the campaign trail. Courtney B. Vance is a good bet to follow Tom to the podium for Best Featured Actor as McAlery’s editor Hap Hairston. Vance has been nominated in this category twice before, for his roles in the original productions of Fences and Six Degrees of Separation.
Best Play comes down to a tight race between two well-loved writers: the late Nora Ephron for her Broadway debut Lucky Guy and Christopher Durang, whose play Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike marks his first Tony Award nomination for Best Play after over three decades as a Broadway playwright. Though Richard Greenberg’s The Assembled Parties surpasses both in craft, at this point it's the dark horse.
For her performance in Greenberg’s drama, Judith Light may walk away with her second Tony in two years for Best Featured Actress (she won last year for Other Desert Cities). Though for that reason, voters may choose to spread the love and look to Shalita Grant’s scene-stealing performance in Vanya and Sonia, etc. or critical darling Condola Rashad in The Trip to Bountiful.
88-year-old stage and screen vet Cicely Tyson is the favorite for Best Leading Actress, making her return to Broadway after thirty years in director Michael Wilson’s revival of Horton Foote’s The Trip to Bountiful. This category nevertheless boasts stiff competition from Laurie Metcalf (The Other Place), Amy Morton (Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf?), and frequent Durang collaborator Kristine Nielsen (Vanya and Sonia, etc).
Though Edward Albee’s Who’s Afraid of Virginia Woolf? just recently took home a Tony for Best Revival of a Play in 2005, Pam MacKinnon’s Steppenwolf transfer was a hit most voters are likely to remember (and reward). Bartlett Sher’s production of Clifford Odets’ Golden Boy was superb, but a short subscription run at Lincoln Center Theatre means many voters are likely to have missed it.
If Pam MacKinnon’s direction is also recognized, two women could be taking home Tonys for Best Direction (including Ms. Paulus)—though George C. Wolfe (Lucky Guy) and Nicholas Martin (Vanya and Sonia, etc.) in the play category are both well-regarded vets.
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Follow Naveen Kumar on Twitter: @Mr_NaveenKumar (photos: joan marcus, carol rosegg)