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Maryland, Black Voters And The End Of A Conservative Argument

Andrew Belonsky May 24, 2012

MarylandBig news out of Maryland, where gay marriage opponents are hoping to repeal the state's equality law this November.

Back in March, polls showed that 52% of residents supported the law, while 44% wanted repeal, but a new Public Policy Polling survey now shows a remarkable change: 57% of voters say they support marriage equality, while only 37% say they're against it, and PPP the switch is due to increased support for equality among African-Americans.

The movement over the last two months can be explained almost entirely by a major shift in opinion about same-sex marriage among black voters. Previously 56% said they would vote against the new law with only 39% planning to uphold it. Those numbers have now almost completely flipped, with 55% of African Americans planning to vote for the law and only 36% now opposed.

These numbers can be attributed in part to President Obama's recent endorsement of equality. Prior to the announcement, 41% of African-American voters supported same-sex marriage. That number has since jumped to 59%.

Considering this seismic shift, Steve Kornacki at Salon argues that the increasingly likely repeal defeat in Maryland will take the air out of a classic right-wing argument about gay marriage:

In Maryland, the surge in black support means that gay marriage is very likely to be approved by voters this fall. If that happens, opponents will no longer be able to make a claim they've been relying on for years – that everywhere gay marriage has been on the ballot, it's been rejected by voters. 

…

That will no longer be the case a few months from now, unless there's some kind of major, hard-to-envision shift in public opinion in Maryland.

"The anti-gay marriage crowd should probably enjoy their 0-for-32 talking point while they can, because it won't be valid for much longer," he writes.

Topics: News More Posts About: Barack Obama, Barack Obama, gay marriage, Maryland, Maryland, News

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