Race for Kennedy Seat in Massachusetts Has Dems Worried

Haven't had a chance to discuss this the past few days, but it's coming down to the wire.

CoakleyRepublican Scott Brown, a former nude Cosmo centerfold, is running a too-close-for-comfort race against Democrat Martha Coakley for Ted Kennedy's Senate seat. The special election is a week away: "The winner of this race will be the deciding vote on the Democratic legislative agenda: health care reform, immigration, and all of the upcoming LGBT bills -- ENDA, DADT repeal, and the Uniting American Families Act."

 The Washington Post reports: "GOP excitement was fueled in recent days by the latest polls in the race. Two automated polls -- a controversial methodology -- showed the contest within single digits, and a Boston Globe poll released Sunday showed Coakley and Brown tied among those "extremely interested" in the race. Although Coakley carries a sizable 15-point advantage in the Globe poll, and leads on most issues, special elections are low-turnout affairs and are notoriously difficult to poll accurately, allowing both sides to spin the numbers. Sensing opportunity, national Republicans are beginning to mobilize. The American Future Fund, an independent conservative group, is spending more than $400,000 on ads slamming Coakley on taxes, and sources familiar with the organization say there's more where that came from."

DC Agenda:Brown

A poll published Saturday by Public Policy Polling shows state Sen. Scott Brown, the GOP candidate vying to succeed Kennedy, one point ahead of Democratic nominee and Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley.

In a poll of residents who planned to vote in the special election — which occurs Jan. 19 — Public Policy Polling found that 48 percent said they intended to vote for Brown, while 47 percent said they would vote for Coakley. Six percent of responders said they were undecided. Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling, said in a statement that the poll shows the special election is “shaping up to be a potential disaster for Democrats.”

“Martha Coakley’s complacent campaign has put Scott Brown in a surprisingly strong position and she will need to step it up in the final week to win a victory once thought inevitable,” Debnam said.

Public Policy Polling’s poll speculated that Brown found strong support in an overwhelmingly “blue” state because of depressed Democratic interest in the election and because he’s favored by independent voters.

The poll could be an outlier. Another poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and published Sunday by the Boston Globe found Coakley had a 17-point lead over Brown. Fifty-three percent of responders said they would vote for her, while 36 percent said they intended to vote for Brown.

John Kerry has launched a last-minute fundraising push for Coakley. The Stonewall Democrats are raising money for Coakley. You can contribute HERE.

The race has inspired a flurry of recent ads which are getting attention. One from Coakley, paints Brown as a "lockstep Republican" and "highlights an amendment that Brown filed in 2005 that in certain cases would have allowed doctors to deny emergency contraception for rape victims."

Brown's daughters have demanded Coakley pull it.

Watch that ad, and Brown's response ad, plus a moment from last night's debate between the candidates, AFTER THE JUMP...

Posted January 12, 2010 at 8:15pm ETC by Andy Towle
in Massachusetts, News