Andrew Cuomo | Carl Paladino | New York | News

Shock Poll: Cuomo Leads Paladino by Just 6 in NY Gov Race


Politico's Maggie Haberman reports on some new numbers in the NY gubernatorial election, which show Tea Party extremist Carl Paladino to be a growing threat:

"Democratic gubernatorial nominee Andrew Cuomo, who had led the GOP field by thirty points for most of the year, is now leading Republican rival Carl Paladino by just six points among likely voters, an astonishing new Quinnipiac University poll shows. Among the most surprising numbers in the survey  is that 49 percent of independents prefer Paladino, compared to 43 percent for Cuomo, an inverse of the topline number. It's the first head-to-head of the general election, and Q's first likely-voter survey.The margin of error is 3.6 percent, and Rick Lazio, who is currently the Conservative Party nominee but whose intentions are unclear, was not included in the survey. Nonetheless, the numbers show that Cuomo is almost certainly going to have to end his 'Rose Garden' strategy and start attacking and defining Paladino."

Paladino, as you may recall, opposes gay marriage, abortion even in the case of rape, and the Park51 project.

Here's the poll.

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  1. "Cuomo, the state's attorney general, had the support of 49 percent of likely voters, compared to 43 percent for Paladino, a blunt-speaking businessman who shocked establishment candidate Rick Lazio in the September 14 Republican primary, the Quinnipiac University poll found.

    A Quinnipiac poll of registered voters released on September 1 -- two weeks before the Republican primary -- had shown Cuomo, the son of popular former New York Governor Mario Cuomo, with a lead of 60 percent to 23 percent over Paladino.

    ""The question was whether Carl Paladino would get a bounce from his big Republican primary victory. The answer is yes,"" Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a statement. ""He's within shouting distance and -- you can count on it -- he will be shouting.""

    Cuomo, who been considered a strong favorite ahead of the November 2 election in the heavily Democratic state, picked up the endorsement of New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who appeared with Cuomo at City Hall.

    ""New Yorkers are angry with (the state capital) Albany -- and I think for good reason, but anger is not a governing strategy,"" said Bloomberg, one of the leading U.S. independent politicians.

    The Quinnipiac poll showed Paladino leading among independent voters by 6 percentage points.

    Paladino's campaign seized on the new poll to say voters were ""climbing on board with Carl"" and said it gave him an immediate, though unspecified, boost in fund-raising.


    ""No matter how you slice that poll it comes up good for Carl and bad for Cuomo. Andrew Cuomo started this race 37 points ahead. He has dropped 31 points,"" Paladino campaign manager Michael Caputo said in a statement.

    Cuomo downplayed the poll, saying, ""I'm in politics, I'm in government, so nothing surprises me at this point in life."""

    Posted by: rss feed | Oct 13, 2011 6:28:27 AM

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