2012 Election | Barack Obama | Gay Marriage | News

Gallup: LGBT Vote Could Swing Election Obama's Direction


According to a Gallup poll, if the 71% of registered LGBT voters who say they are voting for Obama actually do, they could tip the scale in the president's favor.

From Gallup, via the Williams Institute at UCLA:

A new Gallup Report finds that 71% of LGBT Americans who are registered voters support President Obama for reelection, while 22% support Governor Mitt Romney. From June to September, non-LGBT registered voters preferred Romney to Obama by one percentage point, 47% to 46%. However, when LGBT voters are added to electorate, Obama moves slightly ahead of Romney (47% to 45%).  These findings suggest that the highly Democratic vote of the LGBT population could be enough to swing a very close election toward Obama.

The findings are based on more than 120,000 interviews of adults in the US, which represents the largest representative sample of LGBT men and women ever collected.

The Gallup poll also found that 20% of self-identified LGBT people describe themselves as conservative or very conservative. Also most LGBT people approve of Obama's work -- 68% said they approve, while 28% said they disapprove of the president's job -- and LGBT people apparently are not registering to vote as much as their straight counterparts: "About three-fourths of LGBT individuals (74%) say they are registered or plan to register to vote, compared with 80% of non-LGBT men and women."

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  1. Obama supports gay marriage. He said so himself.

    Romney on the other hand supports a federal constitutional amendment banning gay marriage, signed NOM's pledge and donated $10,000 to NOM.

    If Obama is re-elected, we will most likely see gay marriage legalized federally in his second term. Possibly even in 2013.

    If Romney is elected, we can kiss any chance of our equality goodbye.

    Posted by: Stan | Oct 27, 2012 10:40:37 PM

  2. I know quite a few gay guys who always vote Republican, and let me tell you, they all have daddy issues. Trying to please daddy so he'll like them.

    Posted by: Kyle | Oct 27, 2012 10:56:54 PM

  3. @Kyle: cut the psycho-babble "daddy issues" B. S.

    Posted by: andrew | Oct 28, 2012 12:17:01 AM

  4. @Jason: is it possible that most of the gay people you know are closeted homosexuals?

    Posted by: andrew | Oct 28, 2012 12:18:23 AM

  5. @Kyle: Doesn't your state have the secret ballot? How do you and these gay guys daddies know how they vote?

    Posted by: andrew | Oct 28, 2012 12:33:18 AM

  6. How does anybodys daddy know how sonny votes? Same deal w/these industrialist dudes that are warning employees their business will fail if the employee votes Obama. As Andrew said, the ballot is secret!

    Posted by: Goodcarver | Oct 28, 2012 1:58:14 AM


    And that is why I am voting for Obama. The economy alone is enough of a reason to vote for Obama. Romney is a salesman trying to sell an expensive car with a cheap cardboard box surrounding it, so it can't be seen. And Romney's suggesting you buy it with your credit card.

    If the economy is not your thing, Obama also beats Romney on the following issues: Environment,women's rights, racial rights, gay rights,national security, and international relations.

    Posted by: anonny6 | Oct 28, 2012 2:02:46 AM

  8. It seems clear that the WH thinks we'll play a big role in the campaign.

    That's why they abruptly changed positions and instead of promoting DOMA, are now forced to the extreme of opposing DOMA, in the courts at least. They still refuse to take DOMA repeal or ENDA passage up in Congress. There are too many bigots in the Republican and Democrat parties to expect a good outcome if they did.

    The most interesting part of the Gallup report was not about how man are still trapped in the political closet of the Democrat or Republican parties but how many, and it's a huge number, have learned their lesson - that both parties are run by bigots, evolved or not, and have become independents. "Gallup's landmark study of lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) Americans finds that 44% identify as Democratic, 43% as independent, and 13% as Republican. Conservative LGBT Americans share similar traits with conservatives overall."

    The explosive growth of GLBT independents means it's far more easy now to build nationwide, politically militant and independent mass action groups to oppose the bigots who run both parties. Hopefully they'll vote the way they did in 2010 and tell both parties to take a hike.

    Posted by: Bill Perdue | Oct 28, 2012 2:33:46 AM

  9. Wow...the Romney PACs are stepping up their professional trolling activities...who needs "Markusssss" and "?" when you can have "Lili" and "Wayne". Creative names there, guys!
    Trust me, if Romney is elected it will be the fastest reversal of rights ever experienced by a minority group in the Western world...maybe the whole world...we'd be right up there with white farmers in Zimbabwe. By the end of his first four years, I can guarantee you the composition of the Supreme Court will have sufficiently change for Lawrence vs. Texas to be reversed. Yes, state "crimes against nature" laws will be back with a vengeance. Mark my word.
    About 50% of the Romney supporting gays do so out of sheer unmitigated greed. The Peter Thiels of the world. As horrible as that is, I can at least understand their Darwinian instinct on some level...screw everybody else, I must keep "what's mine" at all cost. The other 50% are not wealthy enough to benefit from his "back to the 1890s" economic policies, like no income taxes on the 1%. They are just delusional, self-hating people with a bizarre form of political Stockholm syndrome. Their way of dealing with their feeling of inadequacy is to appease the right wing by supporting it.

    Posted by: EchtKultig | Oct 28, 2012 7:00:14 AM

  10. "They still refuse to take DOMA repeal or ENDA passage up in Congress."

    If you don't know what you're talking about, why post? Obama supports the DOMA repeal bill currently pending in Congress. The Senate Judiciary Committee, with Obama's support, has held a hearing on it.

    Posted by: BABH | Oct 28, 2012 11:00:18 AM

  11. @Lili: How about some real facts (e.g. not from Faux News) before you post?

    Posted by: Diogenes Arktos | Oct 28, 2012 12:52:29 PM

  12. 22% of the LGBT community are quislings.

    Posted by: Peter M. | Oct 28, 2012 2:15:21 PM

  13. Now if these 71% of LGBT Americans will do all they can to help get out the vote by telling their familiy, friends, collegues etc. what's at stake for our community in this election than we have a really good chance of winning this, along with some (or all) of the marriage equality ballot initiatives. YES, we can!

    Posted by: Peter M. | Oct 28, 2012 2:25:23 PM

  14. Regarding Lili's comment that the attack on our embassy in Libya "allowed the Muslims who think homosexuality is a sin to torture a gay US Ambassador," that is simply not true. What seems to have happened is that our ambassador and others reached a "safe" room/area blocked off by gates. There were security/military personnel with the ambassador and were ready to shoot. The assailants never got through those gates, but they did start a fire that generated a lot of smoke. The smoke was heavy enough, however, that our ambassador died of smoke inhalation. It's not clear if the people who started the fire even knew that the ambassador was in that area, so the idea that they "tortured" the ambassador for being gay is problematic at best (if he was gay - I have no idea if he was or not).

    What is clear, however, is that Romney shills are desperately trying to turn this into a campaign issue.

    Posted by: Bill | Oct 28, 2012 9:27:25 PM

  15. That 22% must be the members of the LGBT community who are wealthy enough to get the 1100 marriage rights we don't have, and take whatever path they want to adoption. They can buy their rights, so they want to protect their economic position. What they fail to realize is that Romney's economic "plan" will do little to secure any kind of long term economic growth.

    Posted by: Stefan | Oct 29, 2012 10:15:32 AM

  16. Even if I were more worried about my financial wellbeing than marriage rights, I would STILL vote Obama, because a legal marriage would allow my household to have a dual income. There's nothing much more fiscally motivating than that.

    Posted by: Ophidimancer | Oct 29, 2012 10:27:56 AM

  17. VOTE! Your fundamental rights as an gay person depend on it. Otherwise, the religious extremists will overrun the nation.

    Posted by: RK | Oct 29, 2012 11:17:40 AM

  18. To partially answer Strepsi's question, "Who are the 9% of gay voters who are still "undecided",' I possibly get classified as undecided because I don't answer questions over the phone - you never know who it is who is really calling. The last thing I'm going to do is to give out information that some company might want to sell to telemarketers.

    Posted by: Bill | Oct 29, 2012 4:48:18 PM

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